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2023 Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Talk Series

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We will update this article throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2023 Emmys race. The nomination round of voting takes place from June 15 to June 26, with the official Emmy nominations announced Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be presented over two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10, with an edited presentation of the ceremonies to be broadcast on FXX at a later date. Finally, the 75th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards take place on Monday, September 18, and air live on FOX at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

The State of the Race

The move to double down on Variety Series categories as those shows themselves have fallen out of fashion provides for a fascinating Outstanding Talk Series race.

Two of the primary contenders, “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central) and “The Late Late Show with James Corden” (CBS), are elevated by the fact that this television season was the last hurrah for their hosts.

Once again, the Talk category has been won by “The Daily Show with Jon Stewart” or one of its alumni since 2003. Noah, Stephen Colbert, and even Stewart himself all are contenders this year capable of making sure that streak continues. “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” benefits most from “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver,” the show that has won the category the last seven years in a row, being moved to the Outstanding Scripted Variety Series pool because the CBS host is actually a two-time Talk Series winner for his previous show, “The Colbert Report.”

Meanwhile, “The Problem With Jon Stewart” is only in this category because it was prevented from re-entering the Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special Emmy category is was nominated in last year, so it seems unlikely that the Apple TV+ show will suddenly swoop in and win over all the potential nominees that have remained committed to the variety talk format.

If there is a show to break the streak, many believe it would be “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” based off the ABC host’s recent success with the Oscars, but the real dark horse is NBC’s “Late Night with Seth Meyers,” which was nominated in this category for the first time last year, and has often been the only non-“The Daily Show with Jon Stewart” late night talk show to make the cut in the related Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series Emmy category.

Current Contenders (In Alphabetical Order):
“The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
“The Late Late Show with James Corden” (CBS)
“Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
“The Problem With Jon Stewart” (Apple TV+)
“Real Time with Bill Maher” (HBO)
“RuPaul’s Drag Race: The Pit Stop With Bianca Del Rio” (MTV)
“The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” (NBC)
“Watch What Happens Live” (Bravo)

More Category Predictions:
Outstanding Animated Program
Outstanding Scripted Variety Series
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special

To see IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 75th Emmy Awards click here.

Last Year’s Winner: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver”
Still Eligible: No.
Hot Streak: John Oliver’s HBO series has won the category designated for late night talk shows seven years in a row, even though his program only airs on Thursdays, and does not involve bringing on guests. The introduction of the Scripted Variety category this year, changes things, primarily by moving “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” out of the category. Still, Outstanding Variety Talk Series/Outstanding Variety Series has gone to a “The Daily Show with Jon Stewart” alum every year since 2003, so Stephen Colbert or Trevor Noah could keep that unprecedented streak going.
Notable Ineligible Series: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (submitted as a Scripted Variety Series); “Ziwe” (submitted as a Scripted Variety Series); “My Guest Needs No Introduction with David Letterman” submitted as Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special); “The Problem with Jon Stewart” (submitted as Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special); “Conan” (ended); “Desus & Mero” (ended); “Full Frontal with Samantha Bee” (ended)

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